Core Insights - DeepSeek's senior researcher Chen Deli predicts that AI will potentially replace the majority of human jobs within 10 to 20 years after a brief "honeymoon period" [1][2] Group 1: Three-Stage Evolution Path - The first stage, a "honeymoon period" lasting 3 to 5 years, will see AI as a powerful tool for humans, enabling them to solve complex problems and create greater value [2] - The second stage, spanning 5 to 10 years, will witness the emergence of risks as AI begins to replace some human jobs, leading to increased unemployment risks [2] - The final stage, occurring over 10 to 20 years, may result in AI replacing the remaining human jobs, posing significant challenges to social order [2] Group 2: AI as a "Wise Subject" - Chen Deli emphasizes that the current AI revolution differs fundamentally from past technological changes, as AI can become a "wise subject" capable of surpassing human intelligence [3] - This transformation implies that AI's impact on human society will be far greater than any previous technology, with potential disruptions to employment, social structure, and human status [3] - While optimistic about the technology itself, Chen expresses concern about its societal implications, highlighting the need for technology companies to act as "guardians of humanity" [3]
DeepSeek罕见公开发声,资深研究员陈德里:长期看,AI可能会取代绝大部分人类工作,这不是危言耸听