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中泰国际:予威高股份“增持”评级 目标价5.94港元

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai International has set the target price for Weigao Co., Ltd. (01066) at HKD 5.94, maintaining a "Buy" rating while adjusting revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down by 5.2%, 5.9%, and 6.0% respectively, and net profit forecasts down by 6.4%, 5.4%, and 5.8%, although both revenue and profit are still expected to achieve positive growth [1] Group 1 - The company achieved positive revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a 2.6% year-on-year increase in Q3 revenue to RMB 3.26 billion, leading to a total revenue increase of 0.9% to approximately RMB 9.81 billion for the first three quarters, slightly below expectations [2] - The medical device and pharmaceutical packaging segments were impacted by the centralized procurement of low-value consumables and syringe procurement, but sales of orthopedic products are expected to improve in the second half of the year, while sales of interventional and blood management products continue to grow rapidly [2] Group 2 - The pharmaceutical packaging business experienced a slight decline in revenue due to centralized procurement of syringes, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% in the first half and only low single-digit growth in Q3; revenue forecasts for the pharmaceutical packaging business for 2025-2027 have been adjusted down by 8.9%, 13.5%, and 13.4% respectively [3] - The impact of centralized procurement on the medical device segment has largely been reflected, with the expectation that sales revenue will gradually recover starting in 2026 as the nationwide implementation of low-value consumables procurement has been completed [4] Group 3 - The orthopedic business is expected to recover in the second half of the year as the company shifts its sales model from direct sales to distribution in 2025; after a 1.6% year-on-year decline in sales revenue in the first half due to the adjustment period with distributors, Q3 sales revenue for this segment increased by approximately 10% [5]