Proya(SH:603605) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-13 02:35Core Viewpoint - Proya, a leading Chinese cosmetics company, is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, aiming to become the first A+H listed beauty brand, despite facing challenges such as declining performance and market value [1][2] Company Overview - Proya Cosmetics Co., Ltd. has submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CICC and UBS as joint sponsors [1] - The company was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in November 2017, becoming the first domestic beauty stock [1] - Proya is currently the largest domestic cosmetics company in China and ranks fifth in the overall cosmetics market by retail sales [2][3] Financial Performance - Proya's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of approximately CNY 63.85 billion, CNY 89.05 billion, and CNY 107.78 billion from 2022 to 2024, respectively [3] - Net profit is also expected to rise from CNY 8.31 billion in 2022 to CNY 15.85 billion in 2024 [3] - However, in the first half of 2025, revenue growth slowed to 7.2%, with net profit increasing by 13.8%, marking the lowest growth rate in five years [3][5] Strategic Initiatives - Proya has implemented a "big single product" strategy, focusing on high-repurchase, high-user-engagement products, and a platform strategy to build a multi-brand matrix [2][3] - The company has successfully captured market trends through effective marketing strategies, including social media and live-streaming e-commerce [2] Market Dynamics - The Chinese cosmetics market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6% from 2024 to 2029, driven by the rise of domestic brands and changing consumer preferences [6][7] - Proya faces intense competition from both international giants and emerging domestic brands, necessitating a balance between marketing and research and development (R&D) [6][8] R&D and Marketing Expenditure - In the first half of 2025, Proya's sales and distribution expenses reached CNY 26.59 billion, accounting for 49.59% of total revenue, while R&D spending was only about CNY 95 million [7][8] - The company’s heavy reliance on marketing over R&D raises concerns about long-term sustainability and competitiveness in a rapidly evolving market [8] Investment Outlook - Proya is positioned well in the growing cosmetics market, benefiting from both industry trends and its operational capabilities [9] - However, challenges such as stagnant growth of the main brand and high sales expense ratios may impact profitability, warranting careful consideration from investors [9]