SUNNY OPTICAL(HK:02382) Ge Long Hui·2025-11-13 05:26Company Dynamics - Sunny Optical Technology announced October shipment data: 1) Mobile optics: mobile camera module shipments reached 44.997 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 33.2% and a month-on-month decrease of 7.3%, driven by increased customer demand. Mobile lens shipments totaled 122 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 5.7% and a month-on-month increase of 4.0%, showing a positive growth trend for the month [1][2] - 2) Automotive-related products: automotive lens shipments reached 12.217 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 40.3% and a month-on-month increase of 4.8%, also driven by increased customer demand [1] - 3) Other fields: shipments of other lenses and optoelectronic products decreased by 6.7% year-on-year and 5.4% month-on-month [1] Comments - The sales growth of mobile optical products continues to recover, with shipments of mobile camera modules and lenses down 8% and 6% year-on-year respectively from January to October, but showing a year-on-year increase of 33% and 6% in October, indicating a monthly improvement trend that aligns with previous expectations due to a lower base last year and the Android peak season inventory rhythm [1] - Considering the ongoing product structure optimization, it is expected that the ASP and gross margin of mobile optical products in the second half of 2025 will show year-on-year increases and stable month-on-month performance [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, despite short-term storage price increases, the company primarily targets the mid-to-high-end terminal market, which is relatively resilient to raw material fluctuations [1] Automotive Optical Growth - In the automotive sector, the company’s automotive lens shipments from January to October increased by 24% year-on-year, in line with expectations, with optimism regarding the growth in the number of cameras per vehicle and specifications due to the increased penetration of advanced driving assistance systems [2] - In the XR sector, with the market's upward revision of expected shipments for Meta AI glasses in 2026, it is anticipated that AI glasses camera modules will contribute stable incremental revenue to the company [2] - The recently launched Meta Ray-Ban Display AR glasses received a positive market response, indicating strong long-term growth potential for AR glasses as an important human-computer interaction interface, with the company’s subsidiary showing strong potential in the field of diffractive waveguides [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 at 3.77 billion and 4.50 billion respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 18.5x and 15.3x for 2025 and 2026 [2] - The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of 99.2 HKD, corresponding to P/E ratios of 26.4x and 21.8x for 2025 and 2026, indicating a potential upside of 42% from the current stock price [2]