TWh时代新战事:全域增量、体系出海、AI破局 丨行业风向标

Core Insights - The A-share lithium battery sector experienced a collective surge, with indices for lithium battery electrolyte, lithium ore, power batteries, and lithium battery components all rising over 6.40% [3] - The 2025 World Power Battery Conference held in Yibin gathered over 800 industry leaders and experts to discuss new opportunities and ecosystems in the power battery sector [3][4] - China's power battery installed capacity is projected to grow significantly, with a rise from 63.6 GWh in 2020 to 548.8 GWh in 2024, accounting for 61.3% of the global total [3][5] Industry Growth and Trends - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is expected to increase from 5.4% in 2020 to 45.28% in 2024, with a 48.78% average penetration rate in the first three quarters of 2025 [5] - The installed capacity of power batteries in China reached 493.9 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 43.5% [5] - The conference highlighted that competition in the industry is shifting from mere capacity and technology to a broader ecosystem and international competition [3][5] Yibin's Role in the Industry - Yibin has attracted over 120 projects related to the power battery supply chain, with a planned capacity of 300 GWh and 210 GWh already built [4] - The power battery industry in Yibin is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan in output value for both 2023 and 2024, becoming the second billion-level industry after liquor [4] Technological Advancements - The conference emphasized the importance of expanding the application scenarios for power batteries, including electric commercial vehicles, electric ships, and electric aircraft [6] - AI technology is increasingly being integrated into the battery industry, enhancing efficiency and innovation across various stages, from materials to recycling [15][17] Global Expansion and Challenges - China's lithium battery exports exceeded 400 billion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, with CATL contributing nearly 120 GWh, representing almost 60% of the total [11] - Over 50 Chinese battery-related companies have established localized production overseas, with CATL leading the way in international expansion [11][12] - Challenges such as trade barriers and compliance requirements are noted as significant hurdles for Chinese companies looking to expand globally [12] Future Outlook - The new energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with expectations that storage batteries will account for 50% of the overall battery market [6][10] - The integration of AI in battery research and development is anticipated to accelerate the transition to solid-state batteries and enhance overall industry efficiency [15][17]