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“生活成本”已成特朗普重点,美银:白宫将加大“价格干预”,贸易战“结束”了

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is shifting its focus to controlling consumer prices as a core policy agenda in response to recent election signals regarding living costs, indicating a potential reversal of its hardline trade stance [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The White House is rapidly formulating plans aimed at reducing consumer prices, including direct subsidies of $2,000 or more, antitrust investigations into meatpacking companies, and a new initiative to lower tariffs on common consumer goods like coffee and fruits [1][2]. - A significant aspect of this strategy is the reduction of tariffs, with the government recently announcing lower tariffs on various agricultural products and foods, which is seen as a direct response to voter dissatisfaction with high living costs [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Analysts from Bank of America suggest that the political focus on affordability may signal the end of the trade war, predicting increased direct intervention in prices by the White House, which will be a key driver for asset allocation in the coming months [1][5]. - The administration's toolbox for addressing affordability includes agreements with pharmaceutical companies to lower prescription drug prices, new offshore drilling projects to stabilize energy costs, and proposals for healthcare and housing [2]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Investors are beginning to adjust to the new market logic stemming from Washington's policy shift, with predictions that the political battle over affordability will translate into specific market drivers [6]. - The anticipated increase in government intervention is expected to negatively impact profit margins in sectors related to inflation, while the potential end of the trade war and tariff reductions could become a central theme in the market [6].