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华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio|2025年11月18日

Market Overview - Major US stock indices hit a one-month low, with the Dow Jones down over 1%, and financial and energy sectors falling nearly 2%, leading the S&P 500 decline [1] - Chip index fell over 1% for three consecutive days, with Nvidia dropping nearly 2% [1] - Chinese concept stocks index dropped over 1% for five consecutive days, with Xiaopeng Motors falling 10% after earnings report [1] - US Treasury prices declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield retreating after two days of increases [1] - The dollar index continued to rise from a four-week low, while the offshore yuan fell over 100 points, breaching 7.11 [1] Oil and Gold Market - Oil prices retreated after a two-day rebound, with gold prices falling for three consecutive days to a one-week low, with spot gold down over 2% [2] Key News - High-level financial dialogue between China and Germany held in Beijing, achieving multiple consensus outcomes to end trade tensions [9] - Trump's chief economic advisor Hassett stated that AI could lead to a "calm period" in the job market, suggesting the Fed should be data-driven [9] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed Governor Waller supports a rate cut in December, while Vice Chair Jefferson emphasizes a cautious and gradual approach to policy [10] - Concerns over the labor market and hiring slowdown were highlighted by Waller [10] Company Earnings Reports - Luckin Coffee reported a 50% year-on-year increase in Q3 net revenue, with average monthly transaction customers surpassing 100 million [15] - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant narrowing of losses in Q3, with revenue expected to increase over 30% year-on-year in Q4 [14] - Geely's Q3 profit surged by 59% to 3.82 billion yuan, driven by strong sales of both fuel and new energy vehicles [20] Investment Trends - Peter Thiel's fund significantly reduced its holdings in Nvidia and increased positions in Microsoft and Apple [11] - High-profile investors are adjusting strategies in anticipation of the 2026 midterm elections, with a focus on potential fiscal stimulus [18] Market Sentiment - Bitcoin's market cap has evaporated by $600 billion over six weeks, with fears of a "halving cycle" leading to a significant price drop [12] - The sentiment in the market is cautious, with funds rotating from tech to defensive sectors amid concerns over economic stability [17] Industry Developments - The Chinese cosmetics industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with a projected market size of 1.0738 trillion yuan by 2024 [27] - The 3D printing industry is entering a phase of large-scale application, with significant growth expected in the coming years [28] - The lithium battery sector is experiencing price increases due to rising demand and supply constraints, benefiting domestic companies [30]