LEAPMOTOR(HK:09863) Ge Long Hui·2025-11-19 20:04Core Viewpoint - Leap Motor reported strong Q3 2025 financial results, with significant year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth in vehicle sales and revenue, indicating robust operational momentum and market demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 vehicle sales reached 174,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.6% [1]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was 19.45 billion yuan, up 97.3% year-on-year and 36.7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q3 2025 was 111,900 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 2.2% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 5.4% year-on-year [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total vehicle sales were 396,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 128.8%, with total revenue of 43.7 billion yuan, up 133.6% year-on-year [1]. Cost and Profitability - Q3 2025 gross margin was 14.5%, an increase of 6.4 percentage points year-on-year and 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 150 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses year-on-year, but a decrease of 6.3% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company’s Q3 2025 net profit per vehicle was 900 yuan, while the net profit for the first three quarters was 180 million yuan, with a net profit per vehicle of 500 yuan [1]. Operational Analysis and Outlook - The increase in gross margin aligns with expectations, driven by economies of scale in the automotive business, although net profit saw a slight decline due to rising total expenses, particularly in R&D [1]. - The company is expected to maintain strong operational performance, with anticipated month-on-month sales growth continuing into Q4 2025 [2]. - Leap Motor is positioned in a strong new vehicle cycle with several models expected to perform well in the market, alongside robust overseas expansion efforts [2]. - The company’s core advantages include strong product development capabilities and low manufacturing costs, which are expected to continue [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains sales forecasts of 577,000, 802,000, and 1,023,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding revenues of 66.17 billion, 97.79 billion, and 116.87 billion yuan [2]. - Projected net profits for the same years are 920 million, 4.55 billion, and 7.2 billion yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 79.7, 16.1, and 10.2 times [2]. - The company is expected to see continued profit growth supported by carbon credit collaborations and ongoing cost advantages [2].