南财快评｜如何看待美股AI估值争议？

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's third-quarter earnings report exceeded expectations, with revenue of $57.01 billion and net profit of $31.91 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 62% and 65% respectively, which may alleviate concerns about AI industry valuations in the stock market [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Nvidia's Q3 revenue was $57.01 billion, surpassing market expectations of $54.92 billion, and showing a year-on-year increase of 62% [2] - The net profit for the same period was $31.91 billion, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 65% [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The current AI boom in the U.S. is largely driven by supply-side investments from major tech companies like Microsoft, Google, and Meta, which are heavily investing in Nvidia's GPUs to build computing power centers [2] - There are concerns that the capital expenditures for AI infrastructure are exceeding current actual demand, drawing parallels to the internet bubble of 2000 [3] Group 3: Technological Evolution - Historical tech revolutions often experience bubbles as a necessary phase, with capital flowing in before technology matures, which can lead to resource misallocation but also provides funding for technological advancements [3] - The accumulation of computing power globally may be a necessary step towards achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) [3] Group 4: Future Challenges - The tech giants are entering a challenging phase where the expectations for technology commercialization must catch up with rising anticipations [4] - Investors are increasingly demanding tangible revenue and profit margins rather than just optimistic future projections, indicating a shift in focus from merely accumulating computing power to demonstrating real profitability [4] Group 5: Valuation Concerns - A potential resolution to the current valuation debate could involve a "time for space" process, where gradual technology application leads to more reasonable valuations, requiring patience from market investors [5]