UBS(US:UBS) Yang Shi Wang·2025-11-23 03:19Core Viewpoint - Multiple domestic and foreign institutions have released strategy reports for 2026, indicating that China's economy will continue to show steady growth next year [1][2]. Economic Growth Outlook - There is a positive consensus among various institutions regarding China's economic trajectory in 2026, driven by policy support, structural upgrades, and the release of potential [2]. - Morgan Stanley predicts moderate growth for China's economy in 2026 under a backdrop of appropriate easing policies and gradual rebalancing [2]. - UBS expects more precise policy support in 2026, contributing to resilient economic activity [2]. Export and Manufacturing Resilience - Exports remain a core support for economic growth, with strong resilience observed in manufacturing and exports [3]. - Analysts from various institutions believe that China's "going global" strategy will further enhance profit growth opportunities for enterprises [3]. Domestic Demand and Consumption - The potential of the domestic market is accelerating, with a series of consumption-boosting policies expected to play a key role in expanding domestic demand [4]. - The rise of new consumption sectors is injecting fresh momentum into economic growth, with a focus on brands gaining market recognition and expanding overseas [5]. Key Economic Themes - Resilience, innovation, stability, and openness are identified as key themes for the Chinese economy [6]. - The shift from traditional factor-driven growth to technology-driven growth is highlighted, with a focus on emerging technologies like AI and quantum technology [6][7]. - The stability of domestic policies is seen as a solid foundation for innovation and a crucial guarantee for steady economic progress [8]. Financial Sector Insights - Institutional openness and sustainable development concepts are viewed as vital for the continuous vitality of China's economy in the context of open cooperation [9].