NNCI(SH:600301) 2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-11-25 06:24Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strong fundamentals in the industry, particularly in copper and precious metals [1][2]. Group 1: Non-Ferrous Metal Sector Performance - On November 25, the non-ferrous metal sector in A-shares strengthened, with Huaxi Nonferrous hitting a new high and several companies like Zhongjin Gold and Zijin Mining seeing gains of over 4% [1]. - The mining ETF (159690) rose by 2.74% as of the report [1]. Group 2: Copper Market Dynamics - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the copper price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from declining global copper ore grades, insufficient capital expenditure, and increased mining disruptions [1]. - Demand for copper is supported by global monetary easing and trends in green transformation, particularly in electricity investment, electric vehicles, and data center construction [1]. Group 3: Precious Metals Outlook - Dongguan Securities noted a significant negative correlation between gold and the US dollar index, with the current challenges to the US dollar credit system prompting a reassessment of gold's monetary attributes [1]. - The uncertainty in monetary policy as the Federal Reserve seeks to balance inflation control and economic stability is expected to increase gold's safe-haven premium [1]. - Despite short-term fluctuations due to reduced risk aversion and profit-taking by speculative funds, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to declining dollar credit, sustained safe-haven demand, and regular central bank gold purchases [1]. Group 4: Industry Profitability - The overall profitability of the non-ferrous metal industry has improved, with a 41.43% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first three quarters of 2025, and a further increase to 50.81% in the third quarter [2]. - The mining ETF (159690) tracked a net profit growth of 49.48% for the first three quarters and 55.62% for the third quarter [2][3]. Group 5: Index Performance - The non-ferrous mining index showed a net profit growth rate of 55.62% for the third quarter and 49.48% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 12.14% [3]. - The non-ferrous metal sector (Shenwan) recorded a net profit growth of 50.81% in the third quarter and 41.43% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 10.61% [3].