降息预期推动美股上扬，道指涨超660点，英伟达跌2.6%

Core Viewpoint - US stock indices continued to rise, bolstered by economic data that strengthened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, although the technology sector's weak performance limited the Nasdaq's gains [2][3] Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 664.18 points, or 1.43%, closing at 47,112.45 points; the S&P 500 increased by 60.76 points, or 0.91%, to 6,765.88 points; the Nasdaq gained 153.59 points, or 0.67%, ending at 23,025.59 points [2] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Meta up 3.78%, Microsoft up 0.63%, Amazon up 1.50%, Apple up 0.38%, and Tesla up 0.39%, while Nvidia fell by 2.59% [2] - The retail sector performed strongly, with Kohl's surging 42.53% and Abercrombie & Fitch rising 37.54% due to raised full-year profit forecasts; Burlington Stores dropped 12.24% after third-quarter revenue missed expectations [2] Group 2: Economic Data and Federal Reserve Expectations - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.35% to 7,753.25 points, with notable gains in Chinese stocks like Pony.ai up 5.9% and Xpeng up 3.2%, while Alibaba fell 2.3% and NIO dropped 4.3% [3] - Recent economic data reinforced expectations for a December rate cut, with the probability of a cut rising to 84.7% from 50.1% a week prior [3] - The ADP employment report indicated a faster decline in private sector jobs, averaging a loss of 13,500 jobs per week over the past four weeks, compared to a loss of 2,500 jobs the previous week, highlighting a weakening labor market [3] Group 3: Consumer and Producer Price Index - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for September rose by 0.3%, rebounding from a previous decline of 0.1%, aligning with economists' expectations [4] - The Conference Board reported that the consumer confidence index fell to 88.7 in November, the lowest since April, significantly below the market expectation of 93.2 [4] Group 4: Future Federal Reserve Actions - Goldman Sachs' chief economist stated that there are virtually no obstacles to the Fed cutting rates on December 10, with expectations for two additional cuts in 2026, each by 25 basis points [5] - Market strategist noted that recent data and Fed officials' comments have shifted market sentiment towards a December rate cut due to significant weakness in the job market [5] - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell below 4%, marking the lowest level since the end of October [5] Group 5: Commodity Market - International oil prices declined, with light crude oil futures for January dropping by $0.89 to $57.95 per barrel, a decrease of 1.51% [6] - Spot gold prices slightly fell by 0.14% to $4,130.59 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures rose by 0.81% to $4,127.20 per ounce [6]