Core Viewpoint - The report from Huaxing Securities maintains a "Hold" rating and profit forecast for Jiumaojiu (09922), lowering the target price by 29% to HKD 1.77, corresponding to a 12x P/E for 2026, indicating that the company's overall profit may be slightly below current expectations due to store adjustments affecting same-store sales [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiumaojiu's operations remained stable, with a total of 530 Taier restaurants, 509 of which are self-operated, along with 71 Song Hotpot and 64 Jiumaojiu restaurants [1] - The table turnover rates for Taier self-operated restaurants were 3.2 times per day in mainland China and 3.9 times in other regions, while Song Hotpot and Jiumaojiu had turnover rates of 2.4 and 2.5 times per day, respectively [1] - The average customer spending was reported as 66 CNY in mainland China and 155 CNY in other regions for Taier, 100 CNY for Song Hotpot, and 58 CNY for Jiumaojiu self-operated restaurants [1] - Same-store daily sales for Taier self-operated restaurants decreased by 9.3%, Song Hotpot by 19.1%, and Jiumaojiu by 14.8% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Future Expectations - It is expected that all brand stores will undergo smooth adjustments in Q4, with Taier's same-store revenue decline narrowing further in Q3 2025, approaching flat growth by early September [2] - The impact of the Xibei prepared dishes incident on customer traffic in shopping center dining areas is expected to diminish after the National Day holiday, potentially allowing Taier's same-store revenue to turn positive by year-end [2] - Taier is actively adjusting its store model by introducing live fish for fresh preparation, which is not expected to significantly affect service standards, although raw material costs may slightly increase [2] - The company plans to adjust over 200 Taier stores this year and continue with the remaining 300 next year [2] Group 3: Industry Trends - Jiumaojiu and Song Hotpot are experiencing similar trends in same-store revenue performance, with the company aiming to improve results through new model stores [3] - The restaurant industry is undergoing a transformation phase, with consumers demanding higher standards across various aspects such as environment, space, product quality, pricing, service, and promotions [3] - The company is proactively adjusting to meet these demands, which may impact short-term financials but is expected to lay a foundation for sustainable future growth [3]
华兴证券：维持九毛九“持有”评级 旗下个品牌业务调整进展顺利