香港科技股陷入震荡

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of Hong Kong tech stocks has been puzzling, with companies like Alibaba and NIO reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results, yet their stock prices have declined [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Alibaba's revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 4.8% year-on-year, reaching 247.8 billion yuan, with a comparable growth of 15% after excluding asset impacts [3]. - The adjusted EBITA for Alibaba was 9.1 billion yuan, a significant decline of 77.6% year-on-year, primarily due to increased investments in Taobao's flash sales, although it still exceeded some expectations due to strong performance in cloud and international businesses [3]. - The domestic retail business of Alibaba achieved a growth rate of 10%, aligning with forecasts, while its cloud business grew by 34%, slightly above expectations [3]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Despite positive earnings reports, there is a divergence in investor sentiment regarding tech stocks, leading to volatility in stock prices [2][4]. - Some investors are focusing on the significant profit decline, while others are optimistic about the overall performance, indicating a need for the market to digest varying investment strategies [3][4]. - The recent stock price declines are attributed to profit-taking by short-term investors after the earnings announcements, despite overall positive performance [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains optimistic due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which have increased from a probability of below 40% to around 85% [5][6]. - The inflow of capital from mainland investors continues to support the Hong Kong market, contributing to a more favorable funding environment [6]. - Concerns about AI market bubbles and the need for tech stocks to digest previous valuation increases are influencing current market dynamics [5].