摩根大通高呼“超配”中国：回调即买入，明年涨幅可期！

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has upgraded its rating on Chinese stocks to "overweight," indicating that the potential for significant gains next year outweighs the risks of major losses [1] - The report highlights that the Chinese stock market has retraced some of its excess gains from this year, creating an attractive entry point [1] - Multiple supportive factors for next year include the application of artificial intelligence, consumer measures, and governance reforms [1] Group 2 - The MSCI China Index has declined by 6.2% this quarter, while the broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index has increased by 1.3% [1] - Since early April, the MSCI China Index has risen approximately 33%, compared to a 37% increase in the Asian benchmark index [1] - The report suggests that the Chinese stock market is still in the early stages of recovery from a downtrend that began at the end of 2020, with acceptable valuations and light positioning [1] Group 3 - Fidelity International's global diversified asset investment head expresses optimism for the Chinese stock market, particularly in the technology sector, viewing recent market pullbacks as a good opportunity to increase exposure [2] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that the MSCI Asia (excluding Japan) Index could rise to 1025 points next year, representing a potential increase of about 15% from the recent closing price [2] - Open Source Securities notes that the recent upward trend in A-shares since late June is a normal fluctuation, and the current pullback is within a reasonable range for historical bull market adjustments [2] Group 4 - Open Source Securities anticipates a more balanced market style by 2026, with technology remaining a long-term allocation advantage while cyclical sectors will also present investment opportunities [3] - The report indicates that dividend styles are expected to perform better in 2026 compared to 2025, warranting attention [3]