不止于造车：小鹏正在重构其估值逻辑

Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors has demonstrated a significant turnaround, achieving a revenue of 20.38 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 100%, and a record delivery of 116,000 vehicles, with a gross margin of 20.1% [2] - The company has evolved from a struggling new energy vehicle manufacturer to a global provider of physical AI infrastructure, indicating a shift in its business model and market perception [2] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 20.38 billion yuan, doubling from the previous year [2] - The delivery volume of 116,000 units marks a historical high for the company [2] - The gross margin of 20.1% signifies a transition to a more stable and profitable business model [2] Valuation Perspective - Major investment banks are adopting the Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuation method for Xiaopeng, recognizing its diverse business segments beyond traditional automotive metrics [3][4] - The company is now viewed as a technology entity rather than just an automotive manufacturer, similar to how Tesla was re-evaluated in the past [5] Business Segments - Xiaopeng's operations are divided into four key segments: 1. Automotive business, providing stable cash flow [4] 2. AI chips, which support future AI computing needs [4] 3. Robotaxi services, representing a recurring revenue model [4] 4. Humanoid robots and flying cars, seen as the ultimate form of embodied intelligence [4] Strategic Moves - The introduction of the Kunpeng Super Range Extender is a tactical decision to expand market reach and data collection capabilities, addressing range anxiety for consumers [6][9] - The company is focusing on building a comprehensive data network through its vehicles to enhance AI model training [9] Technological Advancements - Xiaopeng is developing a self-research Turing AI chip, which serves as a universal brain for various intelligent terminals, including cars and robots [10] - The second-generation VLA model allows for a more intuitive AI driving experience, reducing costs and enhancing the feasibility of Robotaxi services [12] Ecosystem Development - Xiaopeng is shifting towards an ecosystem approach, collaborating with major players like Volkswagen and opening its Robotaxi and humanoid robot SDKs to the industry [14][16] - The company aims to position itself as a foundational technology provider in the physical AI space, similar to Android in the software domain [16] Global Expansion - Xiaopeng's overseas strategy has evolved to include local production and R&D in Europe, with Q3 overseas sales doubling, indicating a successful adaptation to global markets [16] Future Outlook - The company is poised for significant developments by 2026, with plans for Robotaxi trials, humanoid robot production, and flying car deliveries, potentially transforming its revenue streams [13] - Xiaopeng's vision of becoming a global embodied intelligence company is supported by its strong cash reserves and technological advancements [18]