Core Viewpoint - Tianli International Holdings reported FY25 results with revenue of 3.589 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, and a net profit of 648 million yuan, up 16.5%, aligning with performance forecasts. However, adjusted net profit of approximately 634 million yuan fell short of the expected 771 million yuan due to increased investments in quality-focused strategies [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company maintained a total dividend of approximately 200 million yuan, with a payout ratio around 30%, indicating stable shareholder returns [1] - Revenue growth across various segments: Comprehensive education services, product sales, comprehensive logistics services, and management and franchising increased by 7%, 8%, 2.7%, and 93.9% respectively [1] - Adjusted net profit for FY25 was lower than expectations primarily due to increased costs from logistics upgrades, quality faculty recruitment, and AI-related investments [2] Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company adopted a "quality first" strategy, leading to a focus on optimizing student quality and investments in quality faculty, logistics, and AI, which impacted short-term financial performance [1][2] - For FY26, the company plans to balance educational quality with short-term financial performance, aiming to gradually restore profit growth [1] - The student enrollment growth rate for the fall semester of FY26 was 8%, a decrease from 30% the previous year, attributed to the company's focus on quality control [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company intends to expand its enrollment scope and increase the penetration of diversified services in managed schools to maintain steady revenue growth [2] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for FY26, FY27, and FY28 have been revised down to 699 million yuan, 795 million yuan, and 864 million yuan respectively, reflecting a 30% reduction from previous estimates [2] - The DCF target price has been lowered to 4.21 HKD from 5.89 HKD, maintaining a WACC of 10.76% and a perpetual growth rate of 1% [2]
天立国际控股(1773.HK)：聚焦质量与增长的再平衡