光伏概念大涨,阳光电源涨超2%,同类费率最低档的光伏龙头ETF(516290)涨超2%,“反内卷”持续,行业自律推动光伏排产收缩!

Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index rising by 1.85% as of December 5, 2025, and key stocks such as Robotech and Keda rising significantly [1] - The photovoltaic leading ETF has shown a cumulative increase of 10.06% over the past three months, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - The industry is undergoing a self-regulation phase, with production cuts in various segments of the photovoltaic supply chain to address supply-demand imbalances [3][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The photovoltaic leading ETF (516290) saw a trading volume of 31.44 million yuan with a turnover rate of 4.48% [1] - The ETF's scale increased by 61.06 million yuan over the past month, and its share count grew by 22 million [3] - The ETF attracted a total of 160 million yuan in capital inflow over the last 22 trading days [3] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - Production in the photovoltaic supply chain has decreased in December, with polysilicon production down by 0.96%, silicon wafer production down by 15.95%, battery cell production down by 12.61%, and module production down by 13.58% [3] - The release of the international standard IEC TS 63406:2025, led by China, is significant for ensuring the safe integration of large-scale renewable energy into the power grid [4] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a new cycle by 2026, with different segments projected to clear their production capacities at varying times [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The photovoltaic sector is anticipated to see a recovery in fundamentals, with potential improvements in demand expected to arrive sooner than anticipated [4] - The implementation of local policies and clarity in revenue mechanisms for photovoltaic projects are expected to support growth, particularly in the southwestern and northwestern regions of China [4] - The integration of energy storage solutions is viewed as a critical strategy to mitigate downward pressure on returns in the photovoltaic sector [4]