PING AN OF CHINA(HK:02318) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-09 06:48Group 1 - The industrial metals sector is expected to face dual drivers of supply constraints and demand elasticity by 2026, influenced by ongoing disruptions in upstream resources and midstream smelting capacities [1] - The resilience of new energy demand, coupled with emerging industries like AI, is anticipated to open up long-term growth opportunities, while a loose monetary environment may enhance macroeconomic and fundamental resonance [1] - In the non-ferrous metals sector, a weakened US dollar and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are likely to strengthen gold's monetary attributes, while a weak dollar provides upward momentum for industrial metals [1] Group 2 - Supply contraction is identified as a core logic for industrial metals, with copper and aluminum facing resource constraints or capacity bottlenecks [1] - In the energy metals category, cobalt and lithium are expected to see significant supply-demand improvements due to policy implementations in major producing countries and the clearing of overseas capacities, leading to a potential upward shift in price levels [1] - The gold market is supported by rising US fiscal issues and political risks, with a bullish outlook on gold prices [1] Group 3 - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous mining index (931892), which selects listed companies involved in the extraction and processing of copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metal mining sector [1] - This index exhibits strong cyclicality and sensitivity to commodity prices, effectively capturing market trends in the non-ferrous metal mining sector [1]