港交所阻力與支撐分析：短線操作的窩輪選擇要點

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing low trading activity, with Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) facing continuous pressure on its stock price, currently at 400.2 HKD, down 0.99%, testing the psychological level of 400 HKD [1] - The market shows a cautious attitude from investors, reflected in a volatility of only about 2.9% over the past five days, indicating a lack of clear direction [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that the stock price of Hong Kong Exchanges is in a critical technical zone, with a weak short to medium-term trend. Key resistance levels are identified at 408.26 HKD (10-day MA), 419.8 HKD (30-day MA), and 428.86 HKD (60-day MA) [2] - Support levels are clearly defined, with 393 HKD as the first support level, which has been tested multiple times, and 385 HKD as the second support level, providing strong psychological support [2] - The primary target for short-term rebounds is set at 411 HKD, close to the 10-day moving average, while 429 HKD serves as a significant medium-term resistance level [2] Group 3 - In the derivatives market, there are opportunities in both bullish and bearish products, with some bearish products showing significant gains despite limited volatility in the underlying stock [5] - For instance, UBS put warrants (19854) rose by 17% and Bank of China put warrants (19860) increased by 11% when the underlying stock fell by approximately 1.52% [5] Group 4 - For investors anticipating a technical rebound, high-leverage and cost-effective options are available, such as Morgan Stanley call warrants (15212) with a leverage of about 4.1 times and lower premium options like Societe Generale call warrants (14638) at 3.9 times [8] - In the bull certificate category, UBS bull certificates (64102) stand out with a leverage of 20.6 times and a redemption price of 386 HKD, close to the second support level, making it suitable for investors looking for rebounds [8] Group 5 - For those expecting continued price adjustments, bearish options such as Morgan Stanley put warrants (19827) with a leverage of 14.1 times and a strike price of 387.8 HKD are recommended, as they are near the second support level [13] - The focus on bearish certificates that correspond with resistance levels, such as Societe Generale bear certificates (55993) with a redemption price of 430 HKD, is also advised for conservative investors [13]