摩根士丹利：美债收益率目前偏低，美联储后续降息幅度或低于市场预期

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Morgan Stanley Investment Management is that the current 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, close to 4%, may be too low relative to the economic outlook for the U.S. [1] - The company anticipates that economic growth in 2026 will face increasingly favorable tailwinds, suggesting a stronger growth environment combined with persistent inflation [1] - As a result, it is likely that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates less than what the current market pricing indicates over the next 12 to 18 months [1] Group 2 - In this context, Morgan Stanley Investment Management has adopted an underweight position on U.S. Treasuries [1]