阿里突传利好，中概股深夜走强，黄金、白银、原油跳水，美联储降息无悬念

Market Overview - US stock indices opened slightly lower and showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index gaining strength [1] - Major tech stocks had mixed results, with Amazon, Google, and Apple showing gains, while Microsoft fell nearly 2.3% [2] - Chinese stocks mostly rose, with notable gains in companies like Huya (up 5.95%) and Dingdong (up 4.68%) [3] Foreign Investment Interest - Foreign institutional interest in Chinese assets is increasing, supported by robust global economic growth and improved corporate earnings in China [4] - JPMorgan forecasts an 18% increase in the MSCI China Index by the end of 2026, while HSBC predicts the Hang Seng Index will rise to 31,000 points, representing a potential 21% increase [4] - As of November, foreign long funds have purchased approximately $10 billion worth of stocks in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [4] Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices experienced a sharp decline, with WTI and ICE Brent crude both dropping about 0.6%, marking a cumulative decline of over 17% for the year [5] - Major banks predict further declines in oil prices, with Brent crude expected to drop to around $59 per barrel by 2026, citing a projected oversupply of approximately 2.2 million barrels per day [5] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut, with an 87.6% probability of a 25 basis point reduction [8] - Market participants are more focused on the tone and content of Fed Chair Powell's statements following the decision, as it will influence the monetary policy outlook for the following year [8]