有色金属ETF(512400.SH)涨1.47%,藏格矿业涨4.49%

Core Viewpoint - The recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to enhance liquidity and positively impact the non-ferrous metals sector, with a clear upward trend anticipated in this industry [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.50%–3.75%, marking the third rate cut of the year [1]. - The Fed's statement highlighted moderate economic expansion, a slight increase in unemployment, and persistent high inflation, indicating a focus on balancing dual mandates [1]. Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector Analysis - The investment logic for the non-ferrous metals sector is clear, driven by expectations of continued liquidity easing following the Fed's rate cut and potential future cuts in 2026 [2]. - In the precious metals segment, weak employment data reinforces expectations for sustained rate cuts, with central bank gold purchases and ETF accumulation trends continuing [2]. - Industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and tin are experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with low inventory levels and recovering consumption opening up price potential [2]. - Strategic metals such as rare earths are benefiting from policy-driven production limits, while cobalt faces long-term supply shortages due to tightened export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo [2]. - Overall, the non-ferrous metals sector is expected to trend upward due to a combination of liquidity easing, supply constraints, and marginal demand improvements, making the non-ferrous metals ETF (512400.SH) an attractive investment option [2].