三季度净利暴跌83％后，“东北药茅”长春高新靠第七次融资续命？

Core Viewpoint - Changchun High-tech (000661.SZ) faces a complex situation with a weak Q3 report and a favorable policy announcement regarding product inclusion in the national medical insurance directory for 2025, which may signal a shift in its performance despite significant profit declines [2][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.16 billion yuan, down 58.23% [7][8]. - In Q3 alone, revenue was 3.20 billion yuan, reflecting a 14.55% decline, while net profit plummeted 82.98% to 182 million yuan [7][8]. - The company's net profit margin has dropped from 38.57% in 2020 to 10.81% in the first three quarters of 2025, despite maintaining a gross margin above 85% [7]. Market Dynamics - The inclusion of Changchun High-tech's core product, JinSaiZeng (long-acting growth hormone), in the national medical insurance directory is seen as a double-edged sword, potentially increasing market access but also leading to price reductions that could compress profit margins [3][4]. - The domestic growth hormone market is becoming increasingly competitive, with both multinational and local companies intensifying their efforts, which threatens the market barriers that Changchun High-tech has relied on [4][6]. Product Development and Innovation - JinSaiZeng has been included in the insurance directory for treating children with endogenous growth hormone deficiency, with a significant patient population of approximately 7.6 million in China [5]. - The company is also exploring diversification through new product lines, including an IL-1β monoclonal antibody and desensitization therapy products, although these initiatives are still in early stages and may not provide immediate financial relief [14]. IPO and Financing - Changchun High-tech has submitted an application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which would mark its seventh direct financing attempt since its listing in 1996, aiming to raise funds for innovation and operational needs [12][14]. - As of September 2023, the company's cash and cash equivalents have decreased by 50.70% year-on-year, totaling approximately 3.16 billion yuan [12].