Core Viewpoint - Concerns about a potential AI sector bubble are rising, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) showing early warning signs similar to its performance during the Dot-com era [1][4] AMD Stock Outlook - AMD's stock is approaching a multi-decade higher-highs trend line, historically indicating major market tops, with a recent higher high in its six-year uptrend viewed as a technical peak [2] - A bearish leg is anticipated, potentially driving the stock down to around $110 [2] - The current price structure is compared to the Dot-com era, suggesting a corrective phase may pull the stock toward its 100-month moving average, a significant long-term support level [4] Historical Context - Previous technology sector corrections were followed by a final parabolic surge, which could indicate that the AI cycle may still experience a strong upside phase after the current correction [5] Long-term Projections - For long-term investors, there is a potential for AMD to reach approximately $435 by around 2030 if historical patterns hold [6] AMD Stock Fundamentals - Despite recent stock pressure, AMD's fundamentals remain strong, with year-over-year revenue growth exceeding 30%, driven by data-center sales and a recovery in client computing [8] - Operating margins have improved due to a larger share of revenue from higher-value AI and server products [8] - Risks include U.S. export restrictions to China and increasing competition from Nvidia in AI accelerators and Intel in CPUs [8][9]
Expert warns this stock is signaling start of AI bubble burst