花旗：即将公布的非农就业报告或释放更多矛盾信号

Core Insights - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, to be released next Tuesday, will provide a comprehensive view of the labor market by including data from October and November, ending months of uncertainty for policymakers and investors [1] - The Federal Reserve recently lowered interest rates to a three-year low amid significant internal disagreements, with officials debating whether to prioritize high inflation or a weak job market [1] Employment Data Predictions - Citigroup economists predict a decrease of approximately 45,000 jobs in October, followed by an increase of 80,000 jobs in November, suggesting that the rebound may be more related to seasonal data adjustments rather than a genuine improvement in worker demand [1] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, contrasting with a Reuters survey that anticipates the rate to remain at 4.4% [1] - The Federal Reserve's own quarterly forecast indicates a median unemployment rate of about 4.5% by the end of this year [1]