Alphabet(US:GOOG) 3 6 Ke·2025-12-15 02:50Core Insights - DeepMind's Chief Scientist Shane Legg predicts a 50% chance of achieving Minimal AGI by 2028, indicating a significant shift in human labor dynamics and potential for large-scale unemployment [1][25][27] - The development of AGI is seen as a critical turning point, with the potential to fundamentally reshape society and the economy [6][19][22] AGI Development Stages - Minimal AGI: Capable of performing typical cognitive tasks that humans can do, expected to be achieved by 2028 with a 50% probability [3][9] - Full AGI: Expected to follow Minimal AGI within 3-6 years, capable of performing tasks of the most outstanding humans, such as creating new theories and art [11] - Superintelligence (ASI): Will surpass human cognitive abilities across all domains, leading to unprecedented changes in society [13][19] Implications of AGI - The arrival of AGI could lead to structural unemployment, particularly affecting high-level cognitive jobs, while lower-skilled jobs may remain safer for the time being [22][24] - A rethinking of resource distribution and societal values will be necessary as human labor becomes less central to value creation [24][31] Future Vision - Shane Legg emphasizes the need for public policy and social structures to evolve alongside AGI to ensure equitable benefits and prevent potential risks [31][32] - The ultimate significance of AGI may lie in redefining what constitutes a meaningful human life, moving away from work-centric values [30][34] Call to Action - A collective effort from various societal sectors, including philosophers, educators, and policymakers, is essential to navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by AGI [35][39]