Cambricon(SH:688256) Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-12-15 10:20Core Insights - A fundamental shift in artificial intelligence is occurring, transitioning from the digital world to the physical world, which is expected to create a global robotics hardware market worth up to $25 trillion by 2050 [1][3] - Morgan Stanley's latest report predicts that global robotics hardware sales will surge from approximately $100 billion in 2025 to $500 billion by 2030, reaching $9 trillion by 2040 and $25 trillion by 2050 [1][4] Market Growth Factors - Five key factors are driving exponential growth in the global robotics market, with an estimated 1.4 billion robots expected to be sold by 2050 and a total of 6.5 billion operational robots [4] - The diversity of robot forms will include industrial robots, service robots, drones, autonomous vehicles, humanoid robots, and household robots, covering various applications from manufacturing to healthcare and agriculture [7] Component Demand Surge - The explosive growth of the robotics industry will create significant opportunities for upstream component suppliers, with projections indicating the need for 5.7 billion cameras, 27 billion motors, and 4.1 billion bearings by 2050 [8][11] - The demand for edge computing capabilities is expected to increase by 40,000 times, while the need for rare earth magnets and battery capacity will also see substantial growth [8] Investment Opportunities - The demand surge will present major business opportunities for suppliers of motors, bearings, rare earth materials, cameras, sensors, AI chips, and batteries [11] - Small drones and low-altitude robotic systems are identified as the most promising investment areas, driven by ease of navigation, government prioritization due to lessons from the Ukraine conflict, and the maturation of regulatory frameworks [11] China's Competitive Advantage - China is demonstrating a clear lead in the robotics sector, particularly in manufacturing capabilities, control of rare earth materials, and policy support, with expectations of continued expansion over the next decade [3][14] - By 2050, China is projected to account for approximately 26% of global robot sales, with even higher shares in industrial robots and drones [15] - The country is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the robotics supply chain, particularly in the "body" segment of humanoid robots, where it holds a 63% market share [15]