估值倒挂、监管趋严，半导体并购“收油减速”

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend in the semiconductor industry shows a significant slowdown in merger and acquisition (M&A) activities, with several high-profile deals being terminated due to valuation discrepancies and regulatory scrutiny. Group 1: Termination of Mergers - Major asset restructuring plans, such as the merger between Zhongke Shuguang and Haiguang Information, and the acquisition of Chipwise by Xinyuan Co., have been announced as terminated [1][2] - Other semiconductor companies, including SIRUI and Diao Wei, have also declared the termination of their M&A activities in December [2] Group 2: Reasons for Termination - The primary reasons for the halted M&A activities include valuation mismatches and stricter regulatory environments [3] - The stock price volatility of the involved companies has complicated the merger processes, with Zhongke Shuguang's stock rising by 61.76% and Haiguang Information's by 61.1% since the merger announcement [3] - The complexity of shareholder structures and differing interests among stakeholders have also contributed to the challenges in finalizing these deals [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Valuation Issues - The termination of the acquisition of Chipwise highlights the valuation conflicts between listed and unlisted companies, indicating that sellers often have inflated expectations [4] - The semiconductor sector has seen a decline in valuations due to a slowdown in IPO activities, making it a challenging environment for M&A [4][8] - The recent surge in M&A announcements has led to a higher absolute number of terminations, as the market adjusts to new policies and economic conditions [5] Group 4: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory scrutiny on semiconductor M&A has intensified, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange closely examining cross-industry mergers and acquisitions [6] - The exchange has highlighted the need for careful evaluation of transaction purposes and asset quality to prevent speculative activities [6] Group 5: Future M&A Trends - Despite recent setbacks, the semiconductor industry continues to view M&A as a strategic necessity for growth and technological integration [7][8] - Companies are actively seeking to acquire quality assets to enhance their technological capabilities and market position [7] - The industry consensus suggests that M&A will remain a critical pathway for achieving scale and strength in the semiconductor sector [8]