Core Viewpoint - The price of storage chips, particularly DRAM and NAND Flash, has surged over 300% since last September, driven by a significant demand from AI applications, marking a new "super cycle" in the industry [1][3][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current price increase is not a typical supply-demand fluctuation but is attributed to a transformative shift in AI usage from model training to inference, requiring substantial computational power [3][5]. - Major cloud service providers are aggressively purchasing storage chips to support AI inference, with OpenAI's monthly demand alone potentially equating to 900,000 wafers [6][10]. - The supply chain is heavily concentrated among three manufacturers: Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, who are prioritizing high-margin products like HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) for AI servers, leading to a structural shortage for consumer electronics [6][8]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The shift in focus to HBM has resulted in a significant reduction in the production capacity for standard memory products, causing a "structural shortage" that affects consumer electronics like smartphones and laptops [8][17]. - The inventory cycle for major manufacturers has decreased to just 2-4 weeks, indicating a rapid turnover and high demand [9][10]. - The financial performance of leading storage chip manufacturers, such as Micron, has improved dramatically, with optimistic future projections as the industry recovers from previous downturns [10][12]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The surge in storage chip prices has led to a collective rise in stock prices across the entire storage chip supply chain, with companies like Kema Technology and Jingzhida seeing significant stock price increases [13][14]. - Major investment firms, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are strategically positioning themselves in the storage chip sector, indicating strong confidence in the industry's growth potential [13][14][15]. - Domestic companies in China, such as Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies, are gaining traction and market share, supported by government policies and funding, which may provide further investment opportunities [17][18].
午间利好突袭,散户追涨杀跌时,外资已提前埋伏这四条暗线