中创新航(03931.HK)：动储电池出货量快速提升 市场份额稳中向好

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing rapid growth in both power and energy storage battery shipments, with a significant increase in global market share and a strong focus on international expansion and diversification of its customer base [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Power Battery Market - The company's global market share in the power battery sector reached 4.7% from January to October 2025, showing a continuous year-on-year increase [1][2]. - In October 2025, the company's monthly installation volume surpassed LG Energy, marking its first entry into the global top three [1]. - The estimated power battery shipment volume for 2025 is expected to approach 70 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of over 50% [1][2]. Group 2: Customer Diversification and Globalization - The company is developing a diverse and global customer base in the power battery sector, collaborating with domestic clients such as XPeng, Leap Motor, GAC, and Changan, while also securing orders from leading overseas passenger vehicle manufacturers [3]. - In the commercial vehicle sector, the company has established partnerships with clients like Geely, Chery, and others, successfully delivering electric bus and heavy truck batteries overseas [3]. Group 3: Energy Storage Battery Market - The company is witnessing rapid growth in energy storage battery shipments, with a projected shipment volume of around 45 GWh for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 75% [2][4]. - The company has launched multiple products, including the second generation of the 314Ah cell, 392Ah, 588Ah, and 684Ah, to meet diverse customer needs [4]. - The company is expanding its overseas presence, successfully delivering energy storage batteries in regions such as Saudi Arabia and Europe, while actively pursuing local customers [4]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, projecting net profits of 12.15 billion, 26.75 billion, and 39.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 106%, 120%, and 46% [5]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are expected to be 0.69, 1.51, and 2.20 yuan, with dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 34.9, 15.8, and 10.8 times [5].