GUOYUAN SECURITIES(SZ:000728) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-24 20:09Core Insights - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, focusing on three core areas: quantum communication, quantum computing, and quantum precision measurement, indicating that quantum technology is transitioning from frontier exploration to industrialization, with significant prospects for investment by 2026 [1] Group 1: Quantum Technology Development - Quantum technology is becoming a global strategic high ground, with its industrialization process exceeding expectations. The 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics will be awarded to scientists in the quantum field, further increasing attention on quantum technology [1][2] - The core advantages of quantum technology lie in utilizing quantum superposition and entanglement effects to break through the performance limits of classical information systems, thereby reconstructing computing, communication, and measurement systems [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - The global market for quantum communication is projected to reach $951 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to $10.5 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of approximately 28.3%. The Chinese market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 52.3% from 2025 to 2030 [2][34][39] - Quantum computing is expected to reach a global market size of $5.04 billion in 2024, with projections of over $800 billion by 2035, driven by its potential in material design and drug development [2][49] - The global market for quantum precision measurement is estimated to be $1.674 billion in 2024, with expectations to reach $4.497 billion by 2035, showing a growth rate exceeding 30% in China [2] Group 3: Technological and Application Breakthroughs - International giants are leading the industry development, with companies like Microsoft, Google, and IBM making significant advancements in quantum hardware and software. For instance, Microsoft has launched a topological qubit processor, while Google has achieved breakthroughs in quantum error correction [3][8] - Domestic companies are solidifying the industrial foundation, with Guoyi Quantum focusing on quantum precision measurement, Benyuan Quantum launching a quantum control system, and Guodun Quantum achieving mass production of single-photon detectors [3][9] Group 4: Policy and Industry Support - The Chinese government has included quantum technology in its "New Infrastructure" initiative, providing multi-dimensional support from top-level design to technological breakthroughs and application implementation, accelerating industry development [1]