东吴证券:全球化纵深×AI破局 汽车零部件开启第二增长极

Core Viewpoint - The automotive parts sector is expected to see a weakening overall Beta by 2026, with structural opportunities being more favorable than total market opportunities. The focus should be on "intelligent driving (L2++/L3/L4) + liquid cooling (AIDC) + humanoid robots" as key technological lines, along with long-term certainty in overseas expansion [1]. Summary by Categories EPS Dimension - Companies should seek alpha through high-competitiveness products that enhance market share and those that can increase average selling price (ASP) by entering high-value sectors through internal and external growth [2]. - Globalization is expected to enhance growth potential and risk resilience in the automotive parts sector, particularly in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia. With profit recovery and deeper customer engagement, companies may transition to global Tier 1/platform leaders between 2026 and 2030. Recommended companies include Fuyao Glass (600660), Xingyu Co., Ltd. (601799), Minth Group, Joyson Electronics (600699), and Xingyuan Magnesium (301398), with New Spring Co., Ltd. (603179) as a focus [2]. PE Dimension - Intelligent Driving: The penetration of L2++ is accelerating, with L3 regulations and urban NOA speeding up, and L4-level smart vehicles being rapidly deployed. Companies should prioritize chips, domain controllers, core sensors, and drive-by-wire systems that demonstrate systematic capabilities in cost, algorithms, and safety redundancy. Recommended companies include Horizon Robotics, Black Sesame (000716), and Desay SV Automotive, with Bertel (603596) and Nexperia as points of interest [3]. - Robotics: Transitioning from "0 to 1" to "1 to 10," benefiting from large models and supply chains including actuators, reducers, lead screws, and force sensors. Focus should be on automotive parts leaders with "technology synergy + manufacturing collaboration." Recommended companies include Top Group (601689), Joyson Electronics, and Shuanghuan Transmission (002472), with YaPu Co., Ltd. (603013) and Daimay Co., Ltd. (603730) as points of interest [3]. - Liquid Cooling: Growth in AI capital expenditure and increased power consumption in AIDC are expected to create a market space of hundreds of billions for liquid cooling temperature control by 2030. The automotive parts sector should focus on thermal management, pipelines, and quick connectors, emphasizing system integration and cost reduction capabilities. Recommended companies include Minth Group, Yinlun Machinery (002126), and Feilong Co., Ltd. (002536) [3].