GPU四小龙忙上市：“中国英伟达”的较量，才刚刚开始

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of the "Four Little Dragons" of domestic GPUs—Mole Thread, Muxi Technology, Bilan Technology, and Tensu Zhixin—marks a significant moment in the capital market, raising questions about their sustainable growth amidst international competition [1][8]. Group 1: Company Profiles and Strategies - Mole Thread, with a team rooted in Nvidia, emphasizes ecosystem compatibility and parallel development of graphics rendering and AI computing, utilizing its self-developed MUSA architecture [2][3]. - Muxi Technology and Tensu Zhixin adopt a pragmatic approach similar to AMD, focusing on high-performance parallel computing while sacrificing complex graphics rendering capabilities [2][3]. - Bilan Technology stands out with its original architecture and Chiplet technology, aiming for extreme computing performance and flexibility in product offerings [3][4]. Group 2: Market Position and Performance - The "Four Little Dragons" have begun to establish their presence in various sectors, with Bilan achieving commercial success in heterogeneous training solutions, Mole Thread securing large-scale delivery contracts, Muxi reporting significant orders, and Tensu being the first to achieve mass production of 7nm GPGPU [7][8]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by overlapping targets among the four companies, particularly in securing contracts from major internet firms and local government data centers [15][16]. Group 3: Financial Insights and Challenges - All four companies exhibit high growth accompanied by significant losses, with R&D expenses consuming a large portion of their revenues, particularly for Muxi and Tensu [19][20]. - The R&D expenditure for 2024 shows that Mole Thread has 886 R&D personnel with a rate of 309.88%, while Muxi has 706 personnel with a rate of 121.24% [21]. - The timeline for achieving profitability is projected around 2026-2027, mirroring Nvidia's early growth trajectory [22]. Group 4: Ecosystem and Market Dynamics - The competition extends beyond hardware performance to include software ecosystems, with each company developing its own software stack to attract developers and enhance product value [23][24]. - The ability to expand customer bases and maintain high repurchase rates will be crucial for validating the true value of their products in a market increasingly driven by performance and cost [24][25]. - The stability of supply chains is critical, as the GPU industry is interconnected with various sectors, and any disruptions could significantly impact production and market presence [25].