政策密集落地将驱动需求释放,中国联塑(02128.HK)业绩弹性与估值修复可期

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes "domestic demand as the main driver" and outlines key tasks that align with the construction materials industry, particularly benefiting the plastic pipe sector, with China Liansu positioned to capture policy dividends [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Implications - The conference highlights "stabilizing investment" as a core strategy to expand domestic demand, with specific measures including increasing central budget investments and promoting urban renewal projects, which will drive demand in the plastic pipe industry [3]. - Urban renewal is identified as a key area for investment, focusing on the renovation of old pipelines and infrastructure, which is expected to create significant demand for plastic pipes [3][4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to renovate over 70,000 kilometers of underground pipelines, with an investment requirement exceeding 5 trillion yuan, indicating a long-term demand for plastic pipes [3]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The construction of urban commercial complexes and public service facilities will generate additional demand for plumbing and fire protection systems, which China Liansu can address through customized solutions [4]. - The rural revitalization strategy is expected to spur demand for irrigation and agricultural infrastructure, further expanding the market for plastic pipes in rural areas [5]. - New infrastructure projects, including 5G base stations and energy transition initiatives, will create new application scenarios for plastic pipes, with China Liansu already positioned to benefit from these developments [6]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - China Liansu has established a diverse industrial ecosystem covering pipes, building materials, environmental protection, and modern agriculture, with plastic pipes as a core business [8]. - The company operates over 30 production bases across 19 provinces and international markets, supported by a distribution network of over 3,000 independent distributors, enabling rapid market response [8]. - Automation and intelligent production upgrades, along with optimized logistics, have allowed the company to reduce costs significantly, enhancing its competitive edge [8]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The favorable policy environment is expected to improve domestic investment demand, with the plastic pipe and building materials sectors poised to benefit from policy dividends and exhibit high earnings elasticity [9]. - The ongoing recovery in the plastic pipe industry and improvements in China Liansu's performance are driving investor optimism, reflected in the company's rising stock price since 2025 [10]. - As policies are implemented and industry concentration increases, leading companies like China Liansu are expected to capture quality orders, enhancing their return on equity (ROE) and valuation levels [10].

CHINA LESSO-政策密集落地将驱动需求释放,中国联塑(02128.HK)业绩弹性与估值修复可期 - Reportify