Group 1 - The end of Jerome Powell's era as Federal Reserve Chairman is anticipated by 2026, with speculation about his political legacy and the economic environment he will leave behind [3] - The upcoming SpaceX IPO is expected to be a significant event, potentially marking the largest IPO in history, providing Elon Musk with additional funding for his ambitions [6] - The success of SpaceX could mitigate any negative impacts from potential delays in the anticipated rollout of Tesla's Robotaxi in 2026 [6] Group 2 - Despite discussions about an AI bubble, major tech companies continue to thrive due to their profitable businesses in advertising, e-commerce, software, and cloud services, which provide a buffer for their investments in unprofitable AI models [2] - The growth of prediction markets, exemplified by Coinbase's partnership with Kalshi, reflects a novel way to gauge public sentiment, although it has sparked concerns about gambling and the influence of new financial tools [4] - The expansion of the "Musk trade" is expected to continue, with the SpaceX IPO providing shareholders another avenue to support Musk, even as it may dilute excitement around Tesla [5][6]
鲍威尔时代将落幕,AI泡沫论甚嚣尘上,2026最大悬念是什么?