信达国际：维持禾赛-W“买入”评级 目标价200港元

Core Viewpoint - The report from Cinda International highlights that Hesai Technology (02525) demonstrates superior profitability and cash flow compared to its peers, justifying a valuation premium with a maintained "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 200 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41% in revenue and 321% in adjusted earnings from fiscal years 2024 to 2027 [1] - In Q3, the company reported a net income of RMB 795 million, a year-on-year increase of 47.5%, with a net profit of RMB 256 million, marking a record high compared to a loss of RMB 70.4 million in the same period last year [2] - Cumulative net profit for the first three quarters reached RMB 283 million, exceeding the annual profit target of RMB 200 million to RMB 350 million, leading to an upward revision of the full-year profit guidance to RMB 350 million to RMB 450 million [2] Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - Hesai is the global leader in the lidar market, with significant growth in shipments of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and robotic lidar, increasing by 190% and 131% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The company has secured over 120 mass production contracts for various vehicle models and has maintained a leading market share of 46% in the automotive lidar sector for seven consecutive months [4] - New products targeting L3-level autonomous driving are expected to be delivered in large quantities between 2025 and 2027, enhancing the company's competitive edge [4] Group 3: Industry Trends - The approval of the first batch of L3-level conditional autonomous driving models in mainland China indicates a clearer regulatory environment, which could boost the valuation of the autonomous driving industry [3] - The expected increase in the number of lidar devices per L3 vehicle (3-6 units) compared to L2 vehicles (1-2 units) suggests a growing demand for lidar technology [4] - The company's JT series lidar products are experiencing strong overseas demand, with total shipments expected to exceed 200,000 units for the year [5]