并购战略持续驱动增长!法巴力挺TransDigm(TDG.US) 重申“跑赢大盘”评级

Core Viewpoint - BNP Paribas reaffirms TransDigm's "outperform" rating, highlighting the company's acquisition strategy as a solid driver of growth [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - TransDigm announced the acquisition of Stellant for $960 million from Arlington Capital Partners, which specializes in high-power electronic products for aerospace, defense, medical, and industrial markets [1] - Stellant is expected to generate approximately $300 million in revenue by 2025 and currently employs around 950 people in the U.S. [1] Group 2: Business Model and Strategy - TransDigm's core business involves designing, producing, and supplying highly engineered aircraft components essential for the safe and effective operation of commercial and military aircraft [2] - The company operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, TransDigm Inc., and is divided into three main segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aerospace [2] - TransDigm's business model is primarily acquisition-driven, having completed over 60 acquisitions in 25 years, creating a supply chain network of 123 subsidiaries [2] Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analyst Matthew Akers notes that the acquisition of Stellant reflects TransDigm's ongoing momentum in mergers and acquisitions, alleviating market concerns about the scarcity of quality acquisition targets [2] - BNP Paribas believes Stellant's strategic fit with TransDigm is strong, citing its approximately 50% exposure to the aftermarket and significant potential for operational improvements [3] - The estimated revenue per employee at Stellant is about half of TransDigm's current level, indicating room for efficiency enhancements [3] - Assuming a synergy effect of about 4% of the acquired business's sales, the transaction is expected to increase TransDigm's earnings per share by approximately 1% for the fiscal year 2027, with more aggressive pricing assumptions potentially raising this to 3% to 5% [3] - The analyst raised the target price for TransDigm from $1,775 to $1,900, based on higher comparable company valuation multiples while maintaining a conservative premium relative to historical transaction levels [3]