盈利与流动性共同驱动港股行情，AI、硬科技或仍是主线

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the active performance of the Hong Kong technology sector, with notable gains in stocks such as SenseTime-W, JD Health, and others, indicating a positive market sentiment [1] - The macroeconomic context includes the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates as indicated in the December 2025 meeting minutes, alongside a rise in China's composite PMI output index to 50.7%, reflecting an expansion in production activities [1][13] - The net inflow of southbound funds exceeded 18.7 billion HKD on the first trading day of the year, while foreign capital showed a decreasing trend in outflows, with passive foreign capital inflows into Hong Kong and Chinese concept stocks reaching 900 million USD [1][13] Group 2 - GF Securities notes that the recent rise in Hong Kong stocks is supported by fundamentals, with signs of structural recovery in profitability expected to strengthen from the second half of 2024 due to stabilizing domestic and external demand [1][16] - The article mentions that the Hong Kong technology index consists of 30 leading tech companies selected based on high market capitalization, R&D investment, and revenue growth, with a flexible sample adjustment mechanism to maintain competitiveness [4] - The top five constituents of the Hong Kong technology index include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, and Xiaomi Group, with significant weightings of 15.46%, 14.54%, and 13.50% respectively, indicating a high concentration in the index [9][7]