又一家万亿市值巨头诞生！

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown remarkable performance, dominating the annual growth rankings in 2025 and continuing its strong upward trend into 2026, driven by various macroeconomic and industry-specific factors [1][2][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 6, 2026, multiple futures contracts in the non-ferrous metals market have surged, with lithium carbonate futures hitting a limit-up of 8.99%, closing at 137,940 yuan/ton, more than doubling since mid-2025 [2]. - Major contracts for silver, platinum, and palladium have also seen significant increases, with silver rising by 7.06%, platinum by 6.02%, and palladium by 5.16%, while industrial metals like copper, tin, and nickel have risen over 4% [4]. - Zijin Mining, a leading player in the sector, saw its stock price increase by 6.5%, pushing its market capitalization past 1 trillion yuan, making it the only non-ferrous company in A-shares to reach this milestone [4]. Group 2: Catalysts for Price Increases - The strong price increases in non-ferrous metals are characterized by an enhanced trend of interlinked price movements, particularly driven by the surge in lithium-related sectors, especially lithium carbonate [8][10]. - A key factor supporting the rise in lithium prices is the delayed resumption of production at the Jiangxi Jianxiawo lithium mine due to compliance and regulatory issues, which has tightened the supply in the market [10]. - The recent spike in silver prices was catalyzed by geopolitical events, specifically a U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which triggered a surge in safe-haven buying [13]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The copper market is experiencing a tight supply situation, exacerbated by production halts at major mines due to accidents and declining ore grades, which have led to increased extraction costs [13]. - Aluminum prices are nearing historical highs, supported by a combination of steady demand growth and rigid supply constraints, with new capacity growth projected at only 1.8% in 2025 [15]. - Nickel prices are expected to rebound as Indonesia reduces its mining quotas, while recent policy changes in Vietnam regarding rare earths are also expected to support price increases in that sector [15][16]. Group 4: Investment Trends - The current market environment is characterized by a strong resonance between capital and industry cycles, with historical data indicating that periods of monetary easing often correlate with significant price increases in non-ferrous metals [20]. - The demand for non-ferrous metals is being driven by the growth of new technologies, including AI and renewable energy, which are expected to further enhance the sector's attractiveness as a core asset class [21][22]. - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metals sector will continue to experience a bullish trend in 2026, with copper and lithium being highlighted as key investment areas due to their supply-demand dynamics [22][24].