专访瑞银胡凌寒：港股IPO有望再创新高，外资偏爱龙头企业

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a strong recovery in 2025, with total fundraising reaching HKD 274.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of over 200% [1] Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The Hong Kong IPO market is expected to maintain its momentum into 2026, with over 300 companies having submitted listing applications [2] - The influx of southbound and foreign capital is anticipated to continue, contributing to the growth of the IPO market [3] - The divergence in performance between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares and U.S. stocks since November 2025 is attributed to a rapid increase in Hong Kong stocks, leading to a normal adjustment phase [4] Group 2: Foreign Investment Dynamics - Foreign capital's participation in Hong Kong IPOs is evolving, with a significant portion of investors now coming from foreign sources, approximately two-thirds of IPO participants [1][2] - Notable foreign funds, such as M&G and Schroders, are increasingly participating as cornerstone investors, indicating a long-term commitment to the Hong Kong market [5][6] - Foreign investors are showing a preference for leading companies across various sectors, focusing on quality rather than a broad investment approach [6] Group 3: Factors Influencing Companies to List in Hong Kong - Companies are attracted to the Hong Kong market due to its efficient approval process, which aligns well with their strategic planning [2][9] - The ability to raise foreign currency funds in Hong Kong supports companies' global expansion and acquisition strategies [9] - The perception of higher valuation premiums for industry leaders in Hong Kong compared to A-shares is influencing companies' decisions to list [9] Group 4: Market Mechanisms and Investor Protection - The implementation of the "B mechanism" has improved the willingness of companies to list in Hong Kong by allowing larger companies to issue a smaller percentage of shares initially [10] - This mechanism enhances the pricing power of institutional investors, leading to more professional and stable pricing, which benefits the market [10][11] - The current structure ensures that retail investors still have reasonable access to IPOs while protecting them from potential losses due to overvaluation [11] Group 5: Future Outlook for Specific Sectors - The AI sector is expected to see increased activity in the Hong Kong market, with more companies from the AI supply chain and related fields planning to list [12] - Investors are likely to assign premium valuations to AI-related companies, reflecting confidence in this growth sector [12]