Market Performance - US stock indices all rose on January 9, with the Dow Jones up 0.48% to 49,504.07 points, the S&P 500 up 0.65% to 6,966.28 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.81% to 23,671.35 points, marking historical closing highs for both the Dow and S&P 500 [1][2] - For the week, the Dow increased by 2.32%, the S&P 500 by 1.57%, and the Nasdaq by 1.88% [1] Employment Data - The latest non-farm payroll data released on January 9 indicated an increase of 50,000 jobs in December 2025, which was below the market expectation of 73,000 jobs; the unemployment rate fell to 4.4% from 4.6% in November 2025 [1][8] - Following the data release, the swap market assessed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January to be nearly zero, with a 2.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 97.2% chance of maintaining current rates [8] Technology Sector - Major technology stocks mostly rose, with the tech giants index up 0.48%; Apple rose 0.13%, ending a seven-day decline, while Tesla increased over 2% and Facebook over 1% [2] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 2.73%, with Intel rising over 10%, marking its largest single-day gain since September and reaching a new high since March 2024 [2] Commodity Market - Precious metals and base metals saw a broad increase, with COMEX gold futures rising 1.29% to $4,518.4 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures up over 6% to $79.79 per ounce, with weekly gains of 4.34% and 12.07% respectively [5][6] - International oil prices collectively rose, with WTI crude oil up 1.77% to $58.78 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 1.66% to $63.02 per barrel [7]
道指创新高，美股科技芯片大涨，英特尔涨超10%，中概股多数下跌，国际油价大涨，美联储1月降息可能性几乎为零