Micron Technology(US:MU) 3 6 Ke·2026-01-10 02:51Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor market is expected to face a significant supply shortage for AI-related semiconductors in 2026, impacting general memory products used in smartphones and personal computers due to prioritization of higher-margin AI products by major companies [1][4]. Group 1: Semiconductor Supply and Demand - Experts predict a supply shortage for AI semiconductors, particularly for GPUs and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with production lines running at full capacity [2][4]. - The price of DRAM for temporary storage is expected to rise by 50-55% quarter-on-quarter, while NAND prices are projected to increase by 33-38% [1]. - The overall semiconductor market is forecasted to grow by 26% year-on-year in 2026, reaching approximately $975.4 billion [5]. Group 2: Impact on General Memory Products - General memory products for smartphones and personal computers are also experiencing shortages due to the focus on AI products, which may lead to a decrease in overall shipment volumes for these devices [4]. - The rising prices of memory components could negatively affect the sales of low-cost smartphones, as they may not be able to absorb the increased costs [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Risks - There are concerns regarding over-investment in AI data centers, particularly by companies like Oracle, which could disrupt semiconductor supply-demand dynamics if AI demand fluctuates [5]. - The automotive semiconductor sector is expected to see moderate recovery, although opinions on the strength of this recovery vary [4].