文远知行-W(00800.HK):立足国内发力海外 ROBOX商业化落地龙头
WERIDEWERIDE(HK:00800) Ge Long Hui·2026-01-13 10:09

Core Insights - The company, founded in 2017 by experts in computer vision and machine learning, has expanded its business from Robotaxi to multiple L4 scenarios including Robobus, Robovan, and Robosweeper, while also venturing into L2+ assisted driving [1] - As of Q3 2025, the company's total revenue reached 171 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 144%, with the core growth driver being the Robotaxi business, which generated approximately 35.3 million yuan in a single quarter, reflecting a staggering year-on-year increase of 761% [1] - The company is the only entity globally to have obtained autonomous driving licenses in eight countries, achieving pure unmanned commercial operations in Beijing and Guangzhou [2] Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 32.9% in Q3 2025, with a net loss of 307.3 million yuan [1] - Cash and capital reserves stood at 5.4 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025, supporting ongoing R&D investments and scaling efforts [1] Market Position and Growth Potential - The Robotaxi business is approaching a commercial tipping point, with a clear path to profitability driven by advancements in technology and cost reductions [3] - The BOM cost for hardware has decreased from over 1 million yuan to below 300,000 yuan, enhancing the unit economic model [3] - The Chinese B-end shared mobility market is steadily expanding, with optimistic projections suggesting that the Robotaxi market could reach 200 billion yuan by 2030 [3] Regulatory Environment - The company benefits from a favorable regulatory landscape, with 51 cities in China opening pilot programs for unmanned driving operations [3] - Middle Eastern countries are strategically driving the adoption of autonomous vehicles, while Singapore is cautiously promoting compliance for various autonomous driving vehicles [3] Revenue Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is projected to generate total revenues of 555 million yuan, 945 million yuan, and 1.987 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The current market valuation corresponds to price-to-sales ratios of 43.0, 25.2, and 12.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with an initial "buy" rating assigned [4]