AI predicts Nvidia stock price after Q4 earnings report

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is set to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on February 25, 2026, with a focus on sustaining AI-driven growth momentum after a volatile start to the year [1] Revenue Expectations - Wall Street consensus estimates for Nvidia's Q4 revenue are approximately $38.3 billion, slightly above the company's prior guidance of around $37.5 billion [1] - Analysts expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.84 to $0.85, indicating continued year-over-year growth driven by demand in data centers and artificial intelligence [2] Stock Performance - Nvidia's stock has experienced notable volatility at the beginning of 2026, attempting to break through the $200 resistance zone, with shares valued at $185, up nearly 0.5% in the last session [2] - Over the past year, Nvidia's equity has rallied more than 40% [2] Price Predictions - In a base-case scenario where Nvidia meets or slightly exceeds revenue expectations, the stock could trade between $215 and $225 post-earnings, reflecting a positive market reaction based on earnings durability [4] - A more bullish outcome, with a clear earnings beat and stronger guidance on AI infrastructure demand, could see shares advance to the $235 to $245 range as growth expectations for 2026 are repriced [5] - Conversely, if Nvidia meets earnings expectations but provides cautious guidance, the stock may struggle, trading between $175 and $185, indicating consolidation rather than a breakdown in the long-term thesis [6] - In a less likely bearish scenario with disappointing earnings or guidance, shares could retrace to the $155 to $165 range, requiring evidence of slowing AI demand or profitability pressures [8] Market Sentiment - Overall, Nvidia's post-earnings price action is expected to be driven more by forward guidance than by headline earnings alone, according to AI modeling by ChatGPT [3][8]