Group 1 - The core view of the report is that the company, Q Tech (01478), maintains a "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 14.97, indicating a potential upside of 46.5% from the current stock price [1] - The company has issued a positive profit forecast, expecting a year-on-year increase of 400-450% in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, amounting to approximately RMB 1.4-1.53 billion, significantly exceeding both the bank's and market expectations [1] - The bank has revised its net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 109% and 12% respectively, projecting net profits of RMB 1.469 billion and RMB 0.952 billion, with 2027 revenue expected to reach RMB 27.7 billion and net profit of RMB 1.21 billion [1] Group 2 - The company’s non-mobile product shipment volume is expected to double year-on-year, with a forecast of 25.59 million non-mobile CCM units shipped in 2025, representing a 111% increase, and a significant 163% growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - The growth in non-mobile products is driven by high demand for handheld imaging devices, strong sales from automotive clients in the second half, and expansion into IoT fields such as AI glasses and robotics [1] - The bank anticipates that the gross margin for non-mobile CCMs will improve in the second half of 2025 due to economies of scale [1] Group 3 - For mobile products, the company is expected to ship 435 million mobile CCM units in 2025, reflecting a 3% year-on-year growth [2] - Despite an increase in overseas customer share leading to a decrease in the proportion of shipments over 32MP to 48%, sales of high-end periscope and OIS modules are expected to grow significantly [2] - The overall shipment volume of FPM is projected to be 203 million units in 2025, a 26% increase, with ultrasonic FPM shipments expected to reach 41.55 million units, marking a 389% year-on-year growth, thereby enhancing product value [2]
中金：丘钛科技盈利预告大幅超预期 维持“跑赢行业”评级