台积电Q4净利润飙升35%创历史新高，AI芯片需求持续强劲

Core Viewpoint - TSMC's Q4 2025 financial results significantly exceeded market expectations, driven by strong demand for AI-related high-end chips, with revenue reaching $33.73 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.9% [2] Financial Performance - TSMC's net income for Q4 2025 was $16.04 billion, a 35% increase, surpassing analyst expectations of around 25% growth [6] - The gross margin for Q4 2025 rose to 62.3%, exceeding the market estimate of 60.6% [6] - The company reported a revenue of $122.42 billion for 2025, a 35.9% increase from 2024 [3] - Operating profit margin improved to 50.8%, up 5.1 percentage points from the previous year [3] - Free cash flow for 2025 was $1.00 billion, a 15.2% increase [3] Business Segments - High-performance computing accounted for 55% of TSMC's revenue, with a 48% year-on-year growth, while smartphone revenue increased to 32% [4] - Revenue from the smartphone, IoT, and automotive sectors grew by 11%, 15%, and 34% respectively, contributing 29%, 5%, and 5% to total revenue [4] Regional Contribution - North America remains TSMC's largest market, contributing 74% to total revenue [4] Future Outlook - TSMC projects a revenue growth rate of 30% for 2026, primarily driven by AI demand [5] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate of 15% to 20% for overall revenue over the next five years [6] - TSMC expects Q1 2026 gross margin to further increase to 63%-65% [6] Capital Expenditure - TSMC's capital expenditure for 2025 was $40.9 billion, within the expected range, with projections for 2026 capital expenditure to reach $49 billion to $56 billion [9] - The company plans to allocate 70%-80% of its capital budget to advanced process technologies [9] Production Capacity - TSMC's advanced process technology accounted for 77% of total wafer revenue in Q4 2025, with 3nm technology contributing 28% [9] - Despite significant capacity expansion, demand remains strong, and supply-demand tightness is expected to persist into 2026 [9][10] Market Impact - TSMC's stock price has surged approximately 340% since the beginning of 2023, reflecting the market's strong response to AI as a core growth driver [11] - The company's market capitalization is close to $1.7 trillion, making it the sixth most valuable company globally [11]