台积电业绩超预期+AI引爆存储周期+自主可控三重驱动，半导体设备ETF易方达（159558）一键共享半导体设备高景气成长红利

Core Insights - The global semiconductor industry is experiencing multiple positive signals, driven by TSMC's better-than-expected performance, the AI-driven storage supercycle, and accelerated domestic self-sufficiency in China [1][6] Group 1: TSMC's Performance - TSMC's Q4 2025 revenue reached NT$1.05 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, with a net income per share of NT$19.50 [2] - In USD terms, TSMC's revenue for the quarter was $33.73 billion, up 25.5% year-on-year and 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [2] - TSMC's gross margin rose to 62.3%, and operating margin reached 54.0%, both at historical high levels [2] Group 2: AI-Driven Storage Demand - The AI wave is significantly increasing the demand for storage chips, with HBM becoming a standard for AI servers [3] - According to Counterpoint Research, the storage market has surpassed its historical peak from 2018, with suppliers' bargaining power at an all-time high [3] - Market prices for storage chips are expected to rise by 40% to 50% in Q1 2026, followed by an additional 20% increase in Q2 [3] - The investment in equipment for a 12-inch DRAM production line exceeds 70%, with increasing requirements for precision and capacity due to advancements in HBM technology [3] Group 3: Domestic Self-Sufficiency in China - China's semiconductor industry is moving towards self-sufficiency, with domestic equipment replacement rates increasing from 25% in 2025 to 35% in January 2026 [4] - Core equipment replacement rates, such as etching and deposition equipment, have surpassed 40% [4] - The national fund's accelerated investment and local industry funds are focusing on critical areas like equipment and materials [4][5] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The semiconductor equipment ETF, E Fund (159558), is gaining attention, with net inflows exceeding 430 million in the last five days and over 1 billion in the last ten days [6] - The ETF provides an efficient tool for investors to gain exposure to this high-growth sector amid market volatility [8]