脑机接口 卖铲人 崛起，国产替代 + 量产能力将决定谁能登顶

Core Insights - The brain-computer interface (BCI) sector has seen over a 30% increase in just a few trading days, with companies like Xiangyu Medical and Mylande doubling in value, reflecting a more than 100% rise since early 2025, indicating a rapid industrialization of a technology once confined to science fiction [1][2] - Recent clinical breakthroughs in invasive BCIs have enabled paralyzed patients to perform tasks through thought, while non-invasive technologies are entering daily life, marking a significant shift in health management from monitoring to guidance [1][6] - China is set to implement its first BCI medical device industry standards on January 1, 2026, paving the way for technology transformation and clinical application [1][5] Industry Overview - The BCI sector is emerging as a strategic battleground between the US and China, integrating neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and microelectronics, with implications for healthcare, military, and cognitive enhancement [2] - The global BCI market was valued at $1.5 billion in 2021 and is projected to grow to $3.3 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.35% [6][9] - In China, the BCI market is expected to reach 3.2 billion yuan in 2024, with an 18.81% year-on-year growth, and further growth to 3.8 billion yuan in 2025 and 4.6 billion yuan in 2026 [6] Technological Developments - Companies like Neuralink are innovating with minimally invasive surgical techniques for BCI devices, while MergeLabs focuses on non-invasive ultrasound technology [3][9] - The BCI technology landscape is diversifying, with various companies exploring both invasive and non-invasive pathways, accelerating global market expansion [9][10] - The development of flexible microelectrodes and wireless transmission modules is crucial for the future of BCI technology, with significant cost reductions expected in the coming years [12][14] Application Scenarios - BCIs are being utilized in various applications, including cognitive rehabilitation, emotional assessment, and even potential replacements for certain neurological medications, indicating a shift towards digital therapies [21][22] - The medical health sector remains the largest application area, accounting for approximately 47.62% of BCI applications, with products entering clinical pathways and regulatory approval processes [20] - Non-medical applications are also expanding, with consumer electronics and entertainment sectors beginning to adopt BCI technologies, indicating a broadening of market opportunities [21] Investment Opportunities - Companies with strong engineering capabilities and real orders are positioned to benefit from the BCI boom, as the sector approaches a critical commercialization phase [23][24] - Notable players include Micron Brain Science, which is focusing on invasive BCI technologies, and Xiangyu Medical, which is pursuing a non-invasive, full-chain self-research approach [24][25] - The market is expected to undergo significant consolidation, with companies that lack foundational technology likely to be eliminated, while those with robust product offerings and clinical pathways will thrive [26][27]