CHINA OVERSEAS(HK:00688) 3 6 Ke·2026-01-16 03:05Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the Zhonghai Yundizhu project in Shanghai's Yangpu District indicates a significant decline in sales momentum, with only 4 units sold from the latest batch despite previous high demand and multiple successful launches [1][2][3]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The latest batch of Zhonghai Yundizhu recorded only 4 signed contracts, a stark contrast to previous high subscription rates exceeding 200% in earlier launches [1][3]. - The project has seen a gradual decline in subscription rates, dropping to approximately 60% for the sixth batch, compared to rates of 210%, 224%, and 246% in earlier months [3]. - The overall market in Yangpu has been characterized by a high supply of similar products, leading to increased competition and lower sales performance for Zhonghai Yundizhu [5][6]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The Yangpu District has experienced a surge in new housing supply, with multiple high-end projects competing in the same price range, which has intensified market competition [6][7]. - Recent land auctions have seen significant price increases, with Zhonghai acquiring land at high floor prices, indicating a bullish outlook on the area despite current sales challenges [5][7]. - The overall high-end residential market in Shanghai is facing increased pressure, with developers adjusting expectations and employing distribution channels to manage sales [7]. Group 3: Project Characteristics - Zhonghai Yundizhu is located in a mature area with good amenities, but its public transport accessibility is seen as a disadvantage compared to competing projects [2][3]. - The project has adopted a "small batch, multiple times" sales strategy, which initially maintained high subscription rates but has recently faltered [3]. - The competitive landscape includes several strong contenders, such as Poly Real Estate's projects, which offer advantages in terms of construction quality and pricing [6][7].